Maybe even in less than the proverbial 2 - 5 years?
I think the proverbial timespan is closer to 10 years. Maybe they could do it in less if the treatment includes a plane ticket to another country, for those of us in the US. But they are a long way from showing that the treatment is safe in humans and that it does something useful. This is kind of a Phase Zero trial. The early-adopter customers probably wouldn't care if it was FDA approved or not, but they will want to have some evidence that it works at least reasonably well and isn't going to kill them. It's going to take a lot of work and money to get from here to there. Specifically, I think they will ultimately need to take it through the equivalent of FDA's phase 2, as well as probably doing a lot of work on optimizing the protocol. To do all of this they will need some luck and a lot of money.
Even 10 years is optimistic, intra-nanny-state. But I think if one were to show up with a suitcase full of money and a plane ticket to the Bahamas, it could happen as soon as 2016. We even have some upper bounds on cost: Liz said they need $250K for 3 Alzheimer's patients, much of which is no doubt allocated to paperwork and analysis, having nothing to do with the procedure itself. And that includes neurosurgery for the intracranial injections. So with high certainty, "plain vanilla" Liz Parrish style therapy costs less than $80K. So yeah, pass me that signup form...
Edited by resveratrol_guy, 13 October 2015 - 03:57 AM.