You avoided answering my question. Both the flu and covid are highly contagious respiratory viruses largely spread through the exhalation of viral particles. Both can be deadly. Covid can may kill half a percent of those infected, the flu probably from a tenth to a third of that depending on the particular strain.
So at what infection fatality rate or R0 should we start putting people in prison, because basically that's the difference between these two infectious diseases that matter. And how do you arrive at these numbers?
Nearly every activity has some risk of death or injury. We as a society accept the risks of a certain amount of death or injury if the benefits of the activity outweigh the issues caused by the loss of life.
For example, in the US, around 50 thousand people die each year on the roads. Now nobody is going to start banning or restricting vehicle usage, because transport is fundamental to so many aspects of modern life. So we put up with those deaths.
When it comes to seasonal flu deaths, the same equation applies: we could reduce those deaths by lockdown practices, but would the economic price be too high? At present, seasonal flu is down by an amazing 98%, as a result of lockdowns. So lockdown certainly works.
I don't know the answer, but I suspect after the coronavirus pandemic is over, we may look with fresh eyes about what we can sensibly do to reduce seasonal flue deaths, without being too disruptive to society.
Also, I note that you avoided entirely my question about putting people in prison for refusing to take whatever vaccine is eventually released.
This question is particularly germane because both masks and vaccines are strategies to prevent the spread of the same covid virus, and when it's all said and done, they're probably going to be about as effective as each other. They're talking about these vaccines being 40 - 60% effective, which seems to be the range of effectiveness that is touted for masks.
So, if not wearing a mask should get you a two year prison sentence, why shouldn't refusing to take the vaccine? Or should people just be held down and forcibly injected?
Vaccination is a little different to mask wearing. There are most likely very slight risks to getting a vaccination, whereas there are no risks to wearing a mask (unless you have asthma, etc).
So I do not think vaccination should be mandatory. But it's clear that those who refuse a vaccination are passing the burden of the slight risk to others.
If most people get vaccinated, it halts or greatly reduces the prevalence of that pathogen in the community. So even if you are not vaccinated, you benefit. But the vaccine refuser gets those benefits for free: they get the benefit, but without paying the price of the slight risk from having the vaccine.
So I think people should be allowed to refuse vaccination, but they should be made to pay in some other way. For example, they might be subject to increased taxation for one year. I don't think it is fair to let vaccine refusers to force others to take the risks for them.
I don't think vaccine refusers should be able to pass the risk to others without there being some penalty.
And you may lament the lack of "communitarian ethos" in various countries, but you seem prepared to use force to compel your communitarian goals. After all, nobody goes to prison voluntarily. Why is it that those who seek a communitarin society always seem so willing to use force to achieve their goal? Will using these methods really instill a "we're all in this together" ethos in society?
BTW - having been to China I can tell you that you will find no more of an "every man for himself" ethos in the world. Why do you think that people that are involved in car accidents there are so routinely left on the side of the road as the other party speeds off?
The US has one of the highest per capita prison populations in the world, because the US is prepared to punish people who do not follow its rules. So even a liberal / libertarian nation like the US uses force to control the populace.
I don't say communitarian values are better or worse than liberal/libertarian individualistic values. Each have their own virtues. One quality of individualistic values is creativity: we see that the more individualistic West tends to be more creative in technology and science than the communitarian countries. When everyone tends to think similarly because of a communitarian ethos, it's harder to engage in the lateral thinking that underpins creativity. China for example has always had more difficulty in coming up with original technological ideas, and I suspect it's their communitarian values which are to blame.
So not holding communitarian values as better than liberal individualistic values.
But I do think that the liberal West should be more flexible in its ethos: in times like this, people in the West should realize that we all need to pull together in dealing with coronavirus.
Edited by Hip, 25 October 2020 - 06:09 PM.