Hi everyone, I was hoping to create a discussion and brainstorm about health/ brain/ aging research and would appreciate input from anyone who has a good understanding about how the research process works, how it's funded, who are the key players, and most importantly, why can't progress happen faster.
I suffer from a rare iatrogenic life changing condition that has no cure and is not well understood and have always been disheartened by how little we know about the brain and the complex processes of the body but I think that could be about to change. Recently there has been a lot of hype in AI which has prompted me to do some digging into the space over the last few months. It turns out that the people who are in the space and working on AI are mostly convinced that we are on the verge of huge breakthroughs due to the exponential nature of the progress. Some of these breakthroughs we are already seeing. This is a perspective that I now share.
I believe that each of us will have a PhD level agent with expertise in any field we choose in our pocket within the next 5-10 years. This agent would have the ability to identify gaps in knowledge, propose research, design experiments etc. There's a paper about how this kind of thing is already happening which you can find if you google "Chemcrow: augmenting large language models". I think I'm being conservative in this prediction, there are many who believe we will have artificial super intelligence within 10 years.
Here's where I'd appreciate guidance:
If in the future, be it near or far, the cost of intelligence is dramatically reduced and accessible to all, what would be the remaining bottlenecks and hinderances to rapid progress in our understanding of the body and disease? ie. if the average person was now able to become an expert in their disease and what needed to be done to further scientific understanding, what would be stopping them?
What are the main time constraints and costs in research?
How does the research process work roughly and who are the key players other than PhDs and researchers?
Why is research slow and how might that change with AI?
Thanks for reading!