nope, take a look at the title again: "automation and AI will take most human jobs". Claiming that will take some is nothing new and has already happened in the past.
It is my personal belief that only quantum computers can surpass human intelligence. That the progress of moore's law, and thus AI, will flatten out in the silicon generation is what most think.
If most means 90% I don't think so, society as it stands now would collapse if 50% of people didn't have anything to do. The definition of most is also hard to define. Don't computers/machines already do alot of our work? I mean it's not a human figuring out what to restock at Walmart...or whether the trains run on time (at least in Asia they use AI).
I think it's more of a cost issue - can you design factories to produce entire products from start to finish - probably. Is it cheaper than just hiring loads of cheap labour - probably not.
If you look at the vast majority of cheap labour, it's not they are doing something that requires the epitome of human intelligence, but rather it would just cost more money to automate what a general brain and a pair of human hands can do. The reason automation is not happening is because it takes a lot more initial capital investment, however the factory jobs keep these economies going.
so conclusion: I don't think we are in a situation where you could replace a lot of the population without some serious collapses. A good example is look at the rise of unemployed uneducated former miner/factory workers in USA, they could overthrow the government. You don't need to make a lot of people redundant to start seeing some unrest.
We could only move towards total automation if we can get past capitalism in the way it works right now. Unfortunately that's where my thoughts end. Nothing has ever worked better than capitalism. Even if you had an idea like wealth redistribution or resource based economy you have to get everyone to agree to it - because of bilateral trade, and that would mean putting some very influential people out of work (who manage capital flows and investments). I just don't see it happening.
TLDR: Automation and robotics can already or very soon can replace a vast amount of human jobs, the problem is society is not designed to adopt it easily, as our society has been designed from bottom up to be based on the idea of scarce resources and people with jobs.
Edited by Major Legend, 03 May 2016 - 03:33 AM.