Perhaps you underestimate your potential contribution to this matter.I must admit, my command of the english language and philosophy is insufficient to debate with you on the matter further.
Unfortunately, your appeal to popularity does not demonstrate the validity of the principle "nothing can be proved; it can only be disproved."But my initial reference to "nothing can be proved, it can only be disproved", is a statement that in my awareness, a large majority of scientists will agree with (from all fields),
I will take your suggestion to heart and look more closely at the "fallibilistic" view of knowledge (the one you present) in contrast to the "justificationist" view (the one I present).and with all due respect I encourage you to ask around. I am sure someone will be able to put forward a better argument than that which I can present.
This is radical skepticism, a position that makes no distinction between speculation and fact (contextual truth can be absolute, not with reference to some omniscient standard, but with reference to all existing and available knowledge). Indeed, your very assertion here, if speculation, would not say very much.Alas... if you take your arguments too far by exploiting every concept and way of thinking on the subject then I think you will conclude that everything ever forever can boil down to speculation (no such thing as absolute truth or omniscient standard of knowledge).
If all knowledge were belief, what would be the point in acquiring more knowledge. If our notion of 'certainty' has no justification, then why believe anything at all?In other words speculation is a never ending way of forward thinking... and in my opinion the basis of what drives us.
But they are different. You yourself suggest they are. Speculation has no basis in fact (which does not imply it has no value); hypotheses deal with facts and with what is 'possible' and 'probable' ~ concepts that require evidence, at least to some degree.The word 'speculation' is very much similar to 'hypotheses', the very things which drives our scientific research.
Mere speculation is to be held in contrast to facts. I do not mean to de-value speculation. It certainly does inspire one to think, but if that all it does, it's virtually worthless. Combine it with facts and hypotheses, evidence and proof, and you begin to have a science.Hence I do not believe that specultion is as "MERE" as you say it is. It is one of the fundamental ways by which we have formulated our ways of thinking.... including all Your arguments.
Here, you seem to allow for both the fallibilistic (falsify a hypothesis on the basis of observation) and justificationist (justify a conclusion on the basis of evidence) views. Interesting.Without initial speculation, we as a race would not have come up with the ideas such as yours(amongst others). Not true in the absolute sense of course, But.... : "what if/could" = imagination => concepts/ideas => possible speculation => research/investigation/look for evidence => proven/disproven => knowledge => progress. (amongst other possible routes).
Yes, I understand. See above.If the speculation stage was cut out... *dot dot dot*
"Evidence" need not be in quotes. Genuine evidence does exist. And speculation does have its place, but we need to be sure where it belongs in the broader scheme of things in our quest for knowledge and value.And so in closing.. I do not see a speculation to be made irrelevant as a result of there being no evidence. We cannot look for evidence of things that we do not speculate of. Data is renamed "evidence" as soon as we have found a corresponding speculation or hypothesis with which it goes.